(10-22-2017 06:18 PM)oliveandblue Wrote:  

(10-07-2017 10:38 AM)johnbragg Wrote:  

(10-07-2017 08:58 AM)Steve1981 Wrote:  You guys are at an interesting spot and perhaps a conference split in 3 years would change thing . Guessing that is what you are talking about. Forget the rules if it's 6 teams together for 5 or more years. Don't recall.

No, those rules are dead and buried. The new rules say a new conference waits I think 8 years for an autobid. (New Big East got a waiver. The facts that we qualified under the old rules and that the pre-nup was based on the expectations of the old rules, and the fact that our autobid doesn't reduce the supply of at-large bids because we're not a one-bid league were big factors, I'm sure.)

Quote:It's hard for me to calculate odds of ever getting into the AAC. Right now say 10% and the future has to much unproven to take a stab at it.

That's probably about right. Maybe high, because you need a lot of stars to align.
1. P5 movement means the AAC loses teams.
2. AAC needs to backfill (they can't just stay at 10)
3. AAC still has UConn (otherwise you and Temple are on an island)
4. Then, maybe you get the nod over Charlotte or ODU or UTSA or MIddle Tennessee or.......

They can stay at 10. ESPN is watching the bottom line here. Furthermore, there is institutional arrogance in the AAC.

I meant that realignment left the AAC with 11 teams, or maybe 9, so staying at 10 was not an option. Prerequisite for UMass to the AAC is that there is a spot in the AAC that needs filling.