Will probably go to: Washington, as they have 1 fewer loss than either TCU or Notre Dame.

Should go to: Notre Dame. They played a far tougher schedule (Sagarin says #2 in the country), lost only to very good teams, and beat the PAC champ that Wisconsin didn't even have to face in conference.

TCU has two very good losses against playoff-bound Oklahoma, but the loss to Iowa State is hard to explain.

The CFP dropped Notre Dame too far last week after their loss to Stanford, perhaps they correct the mistake today?