(10-16-2017 07:40 PM)usffan Wrote:  

(10-16-2017 06:20 PM)quo vadis Wrote:  

(10-16-2017 05:26 PM)SublimeKnight Wrote:  

(10-16-2017 05:06 PM)quo vadis Wrote:  About the two bolded parts ...

(1) By 'scheduling up', i mean playing good teams. You seem to think the notion of a good team is purely a scheduling anomaly, e.g., that Alabama really isn't better than Georgia Southern, it's just that Alabama gets to schedule UAB at home while Georgia Southern plays UAB on the road. That doesn't have any connection with reality.

(2) We can't demand that, because we, the AAC, aren't in a position to. Everyone wants to play home games because of revenue. Alabama isn't going to agree to a home and home with Tulsa just because Tulsa or you or I think that makes computer comparisons more 'fair and valid'.

So you do what you can, which is play them there.

It's better to schedule and beat Georgia State than schedule and likely lose to Alabama (especially if you schedule a one and done with everything in Alabama's favor). If you don't get that, you don't understand the system we're in and how the P5 manipulate and win in it.

I'm pretty confident that no G5 will ever make the playoffs with the OOC schedule that UCF and USF have this year. As long as we play those OOC games, our "poll ceiling" will be lower than #4.

I think that's the nature of the system we are in.

I think this is probably correct. Another factor that complicates this is that schedules are largely made years in advance. For example, USF has a game scheduled at Texas in 2024, when the kids who will be playing in that game are almost all in 7th to 10th grade. Given the ups and downs that can affect a team over an 8 year period, it's hard to know whether you should be scheduling for a chance at a playoff bid or a chance to get bowl eligible. USF is only 4 years removed from a 2-10 season, and scheduling at that time was unlikely to warrant calling up Oklahoma and scheduling a game. And Illinois is only a few years removed from a Rose Bowl appearance. It's a crap shoot scheduling right. If USF had built their schedule this spring, they'd have known to try to schedule for a playoff. Hindsight's 20/20.

USFFan