I'm not a big follower of recruiting and transfers so this view doesn't consider potential adds. It is more of visceral reaction to each of our competitors and their situations. Think of it as a straw model to be improved - certainly not a finished product.

Scrambling:
Drexel – Need to find a new coach & replace Tavon Allen.
Delaware - Need to replace Kory Holden. It might be hard to sell to new recruits that Ross is anything other than a dead man walking.
JMU – Need to find a new coach & replace Ron Curry. Roster, consisting almost entirely of seniors, will have to adjust to the new coach quickly.

Building:
Elon – Lose Tanner Samson but a very young roster this year. Probably a year or two away.

Reloading:
Hofstra – Does anything need to be said? Of course their roster won’t be set until every unhappy transfer finds a landing spot
Northeastern – Lose the top three in minutes played.

Contenders:
UNC-W – They lose Ponder but that seems to be the only significant loss.
Towson – I think they only lose one starter
CofC – I don’t think losing Canyon Barry will hurt much. Chealey and Riller will return from injury.

I guess i would put us right behind the contenders with the potential to move up. My main concern would be the physicality of the contenders.