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i think the rise of AAU ball and 24/7 nationwide recruiting has helped the decline of the big city programs. in the past, i would think that most high school kids were heavily recruited by the local crowd for a long time while other school came late to the recruiting dance. now, top level kids are recruited by colleges across the country from the second they step into high school (even earlier). thus, more of the big city kids fail to form those early bonds to the local school that kept them in the home town