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CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - Printable Version

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CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - usm99 - 04-19-2017 10:47 AM

While looking at several CUSA teams and their RPIs I figured I would post each team's RPI and their remaining outlook. All RPI and games remaining info is from warrennolan as of Wednesday morning (4/19/17):

- USM (29) - 18 games remaining with 9 against top 100. 3 of the 9 games outside top 100 are against Middle Tenn who is 101 while 3 others are against UAB (203)
- La Tech (36) - 17 games remaining with 7 against top 100 and 3 more against MT (101). They have 3 games each against UAB (203) and WKU (243)
- Charlotte (44) - 17 games remaining with 7 against top 100 as well as MT (101) for 3 and UAB (203) for 3
- ODU (50) - 14 games remaining with 9 against top 100. They also have UAB (203) for 3 and Richmond (253) for 1
- FAU (69) - 18 games remaining with 12 against top 100 and 3 vs WKU (243)
- Rice (84) - 18 games remaining with 4 against top 100 and 3 vs MT (101) along with 3 each vs WKU (243) and UAB (203)
- FIU (97) - 19 games remaining with 16 of those against top 100. They close the season with 3 vs WKU (243)
- Marshall (99) - 18 games remaining with 13 against top 100. The remaining 5 are against Ohio (211) x2 and WKU (243) x3
- MT (101) - 18 games remaining with 15 against top 100 with 10 of those 15 against top 50. The 3 that aren't are against UTSA (116)
- UTSA (116) - 18 games remaining with 13 against top 100. 3 of the 5 not top 100 are against MT (101) and the worst remaining RPI team is 167 Texas St
- UAB (203) - 17 games remaining with all 17 against top 100. 13 of the 17 are aginst top 50 04-jawdrop
- WKU (243) - 18 games remaining with 15 against top 100. The remaining 3 games are against #125 (X2) and 185.


RE: CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - usm99 - 04-19-2017 10:53 AM

Looking at those I feel it's realistic to have 10 of the 12 teams in the top 100 by tournament time. Depending on how everything plays out and based on remaining schedules I also feel it's possible to get up to 4 teams in the NCAAs with 3 an almost certainty.


RE: CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - eagle04 - 04-19-2017 11:03 AM

(04-19-2017 10:47 AM)usm99 Wrote:  While looking at several CUSA teams and their RPIs I figured I would post each team's RPI and their remaining outlook. All RPI and games remaining info is from warrennolan as of Wednesday morning (4/19/17):

- USM (29) - 18 games remaining with 9 against top 100. 3 of the 9 games outside top 100 are against Middle Tenn who is 101 while 3 others are against UAB (203)
- La Tech (36) - 17 games remaining with 7 against top 100 and 3 more against MT (101). They have 3 games each against UAB (203) and WKU (243)
- Charlotte (44) - 17 games remaining with 7 against top 100 as well as MT (101) for 3 and UAB (203) for 3
- ODU (50) - 14 games remaining with 9 against top 100. They also have UAB (203) for 3 and Richmond (253) for 1
- FAU (69) - 18 games remaining with 12 against top 100 and 3 vs WKU (243)
- Rice (84) - 18 games remaining with 4 against top 100 and 3 vs MT (101) along with 3 each vs WKU (243) and UAB (203)
- FIU (97) - 19 games remaining with 16 of those against top 100. They close the season with 3 vs WKU (243)
- Marshall (99) - 18 games remaining with 13 against top 100. The remaining 5 are against Ohio (211) x2 and WKU (243) x3
- MT (101) - 18 games remaining with 15 against top 100 with 10 of those 15 against top 50. The 3 that aren't are against UTSA (116)
- UTSA (116) - 18 games remaining with 13 against top 100. 3 of the 5 not top 100 are against MT (101) and the worst remaining RPI team is 167 Texas St
- UAB (203) - 17 games remaining with all 17 against top 100. 13 of the 17 are aginst top 50 04-jawdrop
- WKU (243) - 18 games remaining with 15 against top 100. The remaining 3 games are against #125 (X2) and 185.

Great summary. Thanks for putting it together.


RE: CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - usm99 - 04-19-2017 11:08 AM

RPI - Team - Overall record - CUSA record (listing based on CUSA record)

#29 USM (29-9, 12-3)
#69 FAU (24-10-1, 11-4)
#50 ODU (26-11, 10-5)
#44 Charlotte (21-16, 9-6)
#97 FIU (22-15, 8-7)
#101 MT (19-18, 7-8) -- beat Marshall 2-1, plays UTSA later in season
#99 Marshall (11-18, 7-8) -- beat UTSA 2-1, lost to MT 1-2
#116 UTSA (18-17, 7-8) -- lost to Marshall 1-2, plays MT later in season
---------cutoff for CUSA tournament as of today-----------------------
#36 La Tech (24-13, 6-9)
#203 UAB (17-20, 5-10)
#84 Rice (13-25, 4-11) -- plays WKU this weekend
#243 WKU (12-25, 4-11) -- plays Rice this weekend


RE: CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - usm99 - 04-19-2017 11:25 AM

Remaining scheules:

#29 USM (29-9, 12-3) - ODU, @MT, FAU, UAB, @UTSA
#69 FAU (24-10-1, 11-4) @UTSA, FIU, @USM, @WKU, ODU
#50 ODU (26-11, 10-5) -- @USM, Marshall, @UAB, FIU, @FAU
#44 Charlotte (21-16, 9-6) -- MT, @UAB, Rice, UTSA, @Marshall
#97 FIU (22-15, 8-7) -- @Marshall, @FAU, La Tech, @ODU, WKU
#101 MT (19-18, 7-8) -- @Charlotte, USM, @UTSA, @Rice, La Tech
#99 Marshall (11-18, 7-8) -- FIU, @ODU, WKU, @La Tech, Charlotte
#116 UTSA (18-17, 7-8) -- FAU, @Rice, MT, @Charlotte, USM
---------cutoff for CUSA tournament as of today-----------------------
#36 La Tech (24-13, 6-9) -- UAB, WKU, @FIU, Marshall, @MT
#203 UAB (17-20, 5-10) -- @La Tech, Charlotte, ODU, @USM, Rice
#84 Rice (13-25, 4-11) -- @WKU, UTSA, @Charlotte, MT, @UAB
#243 WKU (12-25, 4-11) -- Rice, @La Tech, @Marshall, FAU, @FIU


RE: CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - southernbirds67 - 04-19-2017 11:32 AM

Wow! That would be a weird CUSA tournament if LA Tech, Rice and UAB didn't get in.


RE: CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - usm99 - 04-19-2017 11:53 AM

(04-19-2017 11:32 AM)southernbirds67 Wrote:  Wow! That would be a weird CUSA tournament if LA Tech, Rice and UAB didn't get in.

It would be an attendance killer for La Tech AND Rice to both miss out. Those were 2 of the better traveling fan bases from last year's tournament.


RE: CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - BeliefBlazer - 04-19-2017 12:28 PM

I don't know how they've healed but I saw a stat week & half ago that 6 of our Top 8 pitchers were nursing injuries. We all know Shoop small ball requires decent pitching. We aren't going to out power teams with hitting very often.


RE: CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - KAjunRaider - 04-19-2017 01:03 PM

CUSA has moved up to the 6th spot overall, passing the Big Ten

http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2017/conferencerpi


RE: CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - Mr. Bojangles - 04-19-2017 01:11 PM

More Tourney Projections:

D1 Baseball projections:

https://d1baseball.com/postseason/postseason-field-64-april-19/

USM #2 seed
FAU #3 Seed
Charlotte #3 Seed
ODU (First Four Out)
--------------------------------
Baseball America projections:

http://www.baseballamerica.com/college/projected-field-64-april-19/#kTTq9AyCYiD26EKE.97

USM #2
ODU #3
FAU #3 (last Four in)
Charlotte (First Four Out)
LaTech (First Four Out)


RE: CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - BeagleUSM - 04-19-2017 02:33 PM

Starkville and Fort Worth would both suck.

If we don't host ourselves (10-15% chance IMO), I'm hoping for Lexington or Winston-Salem.


RE: CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - BeagleUSM - 04-19-2017 02:39 PM

Tech will get in IMO. Remaining conference schedule is a cakewalk, I think they finish 17-13/18-12 in conference play which should be enough.

FAU/LT and USM/Charlotte not playing each other sucks.


RE: CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - techdawg28 - 04-19-2017 03:42 PM

(04-19-2017 02:39 PM)BeagleUSM Wrote:  Tech will get in IMO. Remaining conference schedule is a cakewalk, I think they finish 17-13/18-12 in conference play which should be enough.

FAU/LT and USM/Charlotte not playing each other sucks.

Does that hurt us because those teams don't strengthen their schedule by playing each other, or does it help us because it reduces "cannibalism?"


RE: CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - eaglenjxn - 04-19-2017 04:11 PM

(04-19-2017 03:42 PM)techdawg28 Wrote:  
(04-19-2017 02:39 PM)BeagleUSM Wrote:  Tech will get in IMO. Remaining conference schedule is a cakewalk, I think they finish 17-13/18-12 in conference play which should be enough.

FAU/LT and USM/Charlotte not playing each other sucks.

Does that hurt us because those teams don't strengthen their schedule by playing each other, or does it help us because it reduces "cannibalism?"

I think more of the former.

Although, there are circumstances where the latter may be true. If you have several bubble teams playing one another, there's the chance that only one may get in rather than two (eg say FAU lost three one run games in Ruston the last weekend of the season).

Then again, maybe one gets in rather than neither without the RPI boost from playing and beating a good team.

It just depends. But I think more good than bad is likely to come from good teams playing one another.


RE: CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - techdawg88 - 04-19-2017 04:24 PM

I know Tech getting that suspended game at ULM was a great thing as they would've been a drag on Tech's RPI


RE: CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - usm99 - 04-19-2017 05:52 PM

Strictly RPI wise it would help teams at large chances if UAB and WKU don't make the CUSA tournament.....no disrespect to those 2 teams though.


RE: CUSA baseball RPI update and notes 4-19-17 - eaglenjxn - 04-19-2017 07:00 PM

(04-19-2017 02:33 PM)BeagleUSM Wrote:  Starkville and Fort Worth would both suck.

If we don't host ourselves (10-15% chance IMO), I'm hoping for Lexington or Winston-Salem.

I would be fine with Starkville. I don't buy that State can keep this up. If they do, Cannizaro should be National Coach of the Year.