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+------ Thread: 5-7 Bowl Bids (/thread-799793.html)
5-7 Bowl Bids - Saint Martin - 11-23-2016 03:41 PM
Last year, 3 teams went bowling with 5-7 records. The 5-7 teams are chosen on the basis of multiyear Academic Progress Ratings. 14 teams who could finish either 6-6 or 5-7 stand above UC in the APR scores. It remains quite unlikely that UC goes bowling this year on their academic prowess (and a win at Tulsa would be necessary, of course).
I also included opponents remaining for the teams that only have 4 wins:
APR Team
995 Duke (4-7) @ Miami of Florida
992 Northwestern (5-6)
990 Vanderbilt (5-6)
984 North Texas (5-6)
981 Boston College (5-6)
979 Indiana (5-6)
977 Maryland (5-6)
975 Notre Dame (4-7) @ Southern California
973 Syracuse (4-7) @ Pitt
972 UCLA (4-7) @ California
971 Texas (5-6)
971 Mississippi State (4-7) @ Mississippi
970 Northern Illinois (4-7) @ Kent State
969 NC State (5-6)
967 UC (4-7) @ Tulsa
967 Louisiana Monroe (4-7) vs Louisiana Lafayette
960 Arizona State (5-6)
958 Mississippi (5-6)
956 Texas San Antonio (5-6)
955 Charlotte (4-7) @ Texas San Antonio
955 Southern Miss (5-6)
950 Louisiana Lafayette (4-6) vs Arkansas State, @ Louisiana Monroe
949 Nevada (4-7) @UNLV
947 Akron (5-7)
947 South Alabama (5-5) @ Idaho, vs New Mexico State
945 SMU (5-6)
941 Texas Tech (4-7) vs Baylor
940 Georgia Southern (4-7) vs Troy State
938 Florida International (4-7) @ Old Dominion
936 UNLV (4-7) Nevada
935 TCU (5-5)
935 New Mexico State (3-7) vs Appalachian State, @ South Alabama
Teams to root against:
5 wins already, behind UC in APR, and can reach 6 wins and nab a bowl spot:
Arizona State
Mississippi
Texas San Antonio
Southern Miss
Louisiana Lafayette (must lose one of remaining 2 games)
South Alabama (must lose 2 games)
SMU
TCU (must lose 2 games)
4 wins already, ahead of UC in APR, and will win a tiebreaker if they get to 5 wins:
Duke
Notre Dame
Syracuse
UCLA
Mississippi State
Northern Illinois
It does not matter to us whether the other 8 teams ahead of UC in the APR lose or not, because they will take a potential bowl slot away at either 6-6 or 5-7 from UC.
14 teams to root against, and the Egg Bowl won't end in a tie. Therefore 12 teams to root against, two of them twice. 11 of 12 (13 of 14 games) must lose for UC to get a bowl. Not sure I wanted one anyway.
RE: 5-7 Bowl Bids - geef - 11-23-2016 03:52 PM
I really appreciate the level of analysis you did. Truly. Unfortunately, Tulsa will more than cover the 22 point spread. As ashamed as I am to write this, I hope Tulsa wins by 40. I want there to be no reason whatsoever to retain Tuberville.
RE: 5-7 Bowl Bids - RedRocker - 11-23-2016 04:08 PM
(11-23-2016 03:52 PM)geef Wrote: I really appreciate the level of analysis you did. Truly. Unfortunately, Tulsa will more than cover the 22 point spread. As ashamed as I am to write this, I hope Tulsa wins by 40. I want there to be no reason whatsoever to retain Tuberville.
x2
RE: 5-7 Bowl Bids - Bruce Monnin - 11-23-2016 04:49 PM
I was hoping for a UC win, but now I am not sure. If we get a bowl bid at 5-7, that means I will lose my daughters near the holidays to play in the band while the football team loses by 40 points in a bowl game humiliation.
RE: 5-7 Bowl Bids - rosewater - 11-23-2016 05:01 PM
(11-23-2016 04:08 PM)RedRocker Wrote:(11-23-2016 03:52 PM)geef Wrote: I really appreciate the level of analysis you did. Truly. Unfortunately, Tulsa will more than cover the 22 point spread. As ashamed as I am to write this, I hope Tulsa wins by 40. I want there to be no reason whatsoever to retain Tuberville.
x2
x3. This is the third week that I have been on the other teams wagon. It is like pulling the scab off to restart the healing.
RE: 5-7 Bowl Bids - rath v2.0 - 11-23-2016 05:04 PM
Scab? It's like cutting off a limb to keep the venom from spreading.
RE: 5-7 Bowl Bids - jarr - 11-23-2016 05:22 PM
(11-23-2016 05:04 PM)rath v2.0 Wrote: Scab? It's like cutting off a limb to keep the venom from spreading.
Wooooo... let's get em boys!!! This is so exciting!!!
RE: 5-7 Bowl Bids - doss2 - 11-23-2016 06:22 PM
Please don't delude yourself. Even if the Tulsa team got food poisoning they would still win. If UC won it would be 3-0 and any bowl desperate to invite us could expect no UC fans except parents to attend.
RE: 5-7 Bowl Bids - Nobones - 11-23-2016 06:43 PM
(11-23-2016 05:22 PM)jarr Wrote:(11-23-2016 05:04 PM)rath v2.0 Wrote: Scab? It's like cutting off a limb to keep the venom from spreading.
Wooooo... let's get em boys!!! This is so exciting!!!
Makes me think of Hershel on the WALKING DEAD.
RE: 5-7 Bowl Bids - UCGrad1992 - 11-23-2016 06:58 PM
Is this thread for mental torture? Emotional terrorism? I will never root for UC to lose a game. However, it wouldn't hurt my feelings on Friday if they did. I think we all know what will and won't happen anyway. Take away the FCS win and this team is 3-7 folks. Make that 3-8 after Friday. No Bowlcation this year!
RE: 5-7 Bowl Bids - WalterSobchak - 11-23-2016 07:23 PM
Please stop.
RE: 5-7 Bowl Bids - Edgebrookjeff - 11-25-2016 11:29 PM
hmmm.