(03-15-2018 12:39 AM)NoDak Wrote: SDSU and Fresno St will be in New Californi so it doesn't apply there..
San Jose St will have a problem.
You need to read the polls a bit more closely. Assuming this thing has a hope in heel of making the ballot (which it doesn't)
1) no proposal to split California has any chance
2) half the counties in New California are Democrat or Democrat leaning, and even more would vote against a split.
3) this looks like a looming Democrat wave election. A number of Republicans in potentially competitive districts are choosing to retire in advance. Would not shock me if 1/3rd of the sitting Republican districts in California flipped (put legislature at over 75% Democrat, same for US House representation)
Note: It is interesting that Ted Cruz is said to be extremely nervous about his reelection in Texas, frantically raising money and is planning for a close race and tough fight -- if he sees trouble in red Texas, it could be a bloodbath for the GOP across the heartland.
The irony is, if the Democratic sweep flips Texas' Statehouse, you could see the Bathroom bill repealed, ending California's ban on state funded travel. (I don't expect Texas to flip, but it could get "purple-ish" ... demographic trends say a flip is more likely 12 to 15 years away)