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Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
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Attackcoog Offline
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Post: #21
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
(11-07-2017 08:22 AM)orangefan Wrote:  Disney is most likely looking at content for its new subscription service to put in a better position to compete with Netflix and HBO. Not only do you get Fox's recent release movies (currently shown in the pay window on HBO), you get a huge library of films and TV shows, including the original Star Wars. As folks have pointed out, it gets them the X-Men and Fantastic Four. Also, don't discount the value of all of the series produced or owned by FX, many of which are very good (54 Emmy nominations this past year compared to ABC's 34). FX also owns the entire library of Simpsons episodes. The combination of Disney, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, ABC, ESPN films (30 for 30, etc.), Disney Channel, Freeform, Fox studios, Fox television production, and FX would provide a huge library of existing material together with production capability for a virtually unlimited number of new shows and movies.

As ESPN has entered a stage with limited growth, Disney needs a replacement growth vehicle. Creating a viable competitor to Netflix and HBO is an excellent strategic play to try to accomplish this. As someone pointed out, Netflix has a market cap of $86 billion. Disney, with ESPN and all of its other assets, has a market cap of less than twice this amount at $155 billion. The Fox assets being discussed would strongly bolster Disney's efforts to implement this strategy.

THIS. Content is king. Nobody buys streaming services or cable because of the platform. Ultimately, they buy them to watch content. In an al a carte future, exclusive content will determine what networks and streaming services will be considered “must haves” by consumers and which will be fighting to survive. Regardless of whether cable or streaming wins the battle for subscribers, whoever controls huge blocks of content will be certain survivors
11-07-2017 10:29 AM
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Wedge Offline
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Post: #22
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
(11-07-2017 08:22 AM)orangefan Wrote:  Disney is most likely looking at content for its new subscription service to put in a better position to compete with Netflix and HBO. Not only do you get Fox's recent release movies (currently shown in the pay window on HBO), you get a huge library of films and TV shows, including the original Star Wars. As folks have pointed out, it gets them the X-Men and Fantastic Four. Also, don't discount the value of all of the series produced or owned by FX, many of which are very good (54 Emmy nominations this past year compared to ABC's 34). FX also owns the entire library of Simpsons episodes. The combination of Disney, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, ABC, ESPN films (30 for 30, etc.), Disney Channel, Freeform, Fox studios, Fox television production, and FX would provide a huge library of existing material together with production capability for a virtually unlimited number of new shows and movies.

Yes, it's this. Disney, ideally, would like to have so much content for its competitor to Netflix that the majority of consumers who subscribe would choose to subscribe to "Disneyflix" instead of Netflix.

Disneyflix is also a way to get into OTT for Disney-operated TV channels including the ESPN channels. Disneyflix could offer one bundle that includes both the movie and TV libraries and ESPN channels, Disney kids channels, etc. included, and maybe another bundle at a slightly lower monthly rate that includes only the movie and TV libraries.
11-07-2017 02:16 PM
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AppfanInCAAland Offline
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Post: #23
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
(11-07-2017 02:16 PM)Wedge Wrote:  
(11-07-2017 08:22 AM)orangefan Wrote:  Disney is most likely looking at content for its new subscription service to put in a better position to compete with Netflix and HBO. Not only do you get Fox's recent release movies (currently shown in the pay window on HBO), you get a huge library of films and TV shows, including the original Star Wars. As folks have pointed out, it gets them the X-Men and Fantastic Four. Also, don't discount the value of all of the series produced or owned by FX, many of which are very good (54 Emmy nominations this past year compared to ABC's 34). FX also owns the entire library of Simpsons episodes. The combination of Disney, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, ABC, ESPN films (30 for 30, etc.), Disney Channel, Freeform, Fox studios, Fox television production, and FX would provide a huge library of existing material together with production capability for a virtually unlimited number of new shows and movies.

Yes, it's this. Disney, ideally, would like to have so much content for its competitor to Netflix that the majority of consumers who subscribe would choose to subscribe to "Disneyflix" instead of Netflix.

Disneyflix is also a way to get into OTT for Disney-operated TV channels including the ESPN channels. Disneyflix could offer one bundle that includes both the movie and TV libraries and ESPN channels, Disney kids channels, etc. included, and maybe another bundle at a slightly lower monthly rate that includes only the movie and TV libraries.

If all Disney content (all th IPs, movies, ABC, ESPN, the dozens of other cable channels they own, nonDisney content they own broadcast rights to) is combined with the films and content Fox owns and made available as an exclusive streaming service, they could put Netflix out of business.

But let's be honest, the reason this news is good is because the world needs to see Wolverine fight the Hulk!
(This post was last modified: 11-07-2017 03:25 PM by AppfanInCAAland.)
11-07-2017 03:24 PM
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solohawks Offline
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Post: #24
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
(11-07-2017 09:18 AM)panama Wrote:  https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.co...urces.html

"Disney would not purchase all of Fox, according to people with knowledge of the talks.

The company could not own two broadcast networks and would therefore not buy the Fox broadcast network. It would not buy Fox's sports programming assets in the belief that combining them with ESPN could be seen as anti-competitive from an antitrust standpoint and it would not buy the Fox News or Business channel. Disney would also not purchase Fox's local broadcasting affiliates, according to people familiar with the negotiations.

In addition to the movie studio, TV production and international assets such as Star and Sky, Disney would also add entertainment networks such as FX and National Geographic."

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

I think its a brilliant idea by Disney. Disney has seen the future and that future is "DisneyFlix" (copyright Wedge). This would greatly help DisneyFlix as it is about to launch as well as reunify Marvel and Star Wars, two of Disney's biggest properties, while simultaneously knocking Fox out of the Big Media game and leave it ripe for another bigger fish like AT&T to take what is left.

A little surprise that Fox News channel wouldn't be apart of the discussion as Disney does not have a cable news channel in their portfolio.
11-07-2017 03:34 PM
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solohawks Offline
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Post: #25
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
Also, would Disney acquire Fox's stake in Hulu? That would make Disney the majority owner of that joint venture
11-07-2017 03:48 PM
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krux Offline
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Post: #26
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
I thought Disney already owned Star Wars
11-07-2017 03:52 PM
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Post: #27
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
(11-07-2017 03:52 PM)krux Wrote:  I thought Disney already owned Star Wars

Disney owns all of the intellectual property rights in Star Wars, but Fox still has the distribution rights for the original A New Hope in perpetuity and the Empire Strikes Back and Return of the Jedi for the next couple of years. (This was based on a deal George Lucas made back in the 2000s where Lucasfilm allowed Fox to retain those Original Trilogy distribution rights in exchange for Lucasfilm having full distribution rights of Episodes I, II and III. Fox was still used by Lucasfilm to release Episodes I, II and III in theaters, but Fox only received effectively a flat fee as opposed to normal performance-based distribution royalty.) Essentially, Disney still has to pay Fox a cut of any Blu-Ray releases, streaming and TV airings of the Original Trilogy. Otherwise, all other rights in the Star Wars franchise are fully-owned by Disney. As a Star Wars fan, the primary potential tangible impact that a Disney purchase of Fox would have is that it would remove any financial barriers to Disney re-releasing the true original theatrical versions of the Original Trilogy instead of the bastardized Special Editions.

Now, Disney getting back X-Men and Fantastic Four *production* rights in a Fox purchase would be a much bigger deal for Marvel fans since those properties could then be merged into the Marvel Cinematic Universe in a way that isn't allowed as of now. (Think of Wolverine and the rest of the X-Men finally getting to be in a movie with The Avengers.) That would be a pretty significant change for the public that isn't based on financial accounting or revenue distributions behind-the-scenes.
(This post was last modified: 11-07-2017 04:45 PM by Frank the Tank.)
11-07-2017 04:40 PM
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Post: #28
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
(11-07-2017 04:40 PM)Frank the Tank Wrote:  
(11-07-2017 03:52 PM)krux Wrote:  I thought Disney already owned Star Wars

Disney owns all of the intellectual property rights in Star Wars, but Fox still has the distribution rights for the original A New Hope in perpetuity and the Empire Strikes Back and Return of the Jedi for the next couple of years. (This was based on a deal George Lucas made back in the 2000s where Lucasfilm allowed Fox to retain those Original Trilogy distribution rights in exchange for Lucasfilm having full distribution rights of Episodes I, II and III. Fox was still used by Lucasfilm to release Episodes I, II and III in theaters, but Fox only received effectively a flat fee as opposed to normal performance-based distribution royalty.) Essentially, Disney still has to pay Fox a cut of any Blu-Ray releases, streaming and TV airings of the Original Trilogy. Otherwise, all other rights in the Star Wars franchise are fully-owned by Disney. As a Star Wars fan, the primary potential tangible impact that a Disney purchase of Fox would have is that it would remove any financial barriers to Disney re-releasing the true original theatrical versions of the Original Trilogy instead of the bastardized Special Editions.

Now, Disney getting back X-Men and Fantastic Four *production* rights in a Fox purchase would be a much bigger deal for Marvel fans since those properties could then be merged into the Marvel Cinematic Universe in a way that isn't allowed as of now. (Think of Wolverine and the rest of the X-Men finally getting to be in a movie with The Avengers.) That would be a pretty significant change for the public that isn't based on financial accounting or revenue distributions behind-the-scenes.

Right. And then there is almost a 100 years of movies to add to the Film Library. The initial impact is as you say, but the total inventory is so much richer.
11-07-2017 05:36 PM
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solohawks Offline
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Post: #29
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
(11-07-2017 04:40 PM)Frank the Tank Wrote:  
(11-07-2017 03:52 PM)krux Wrote:  I thought Disney already owned Star Wars

Disney owns all of the intellectual property rights in Star Wars, but Fox still has the distribution rights for the original A New Hope in perpetuity and the Empire Strikes Back and Return of the Jedi for the next couple of years. (This was based on a deal George Lucas made back in the 2000s where Lucasfilm allowed Fox to retain those Original Trilogy distribution rights in exchange for Lucasfilm having full distribution rights of Episodes I, II and III. Fox was still used by Lucasfilm to release Episodes I, II and III in theaters, but Fox only received effectively a flat fee as opposed to normal performance-based distribution royalty.) Essentially, Disney still has to pay Fox a cut of any Blu-Ray releases, streaming and TV airings of the Original Trilogy. Otherwise, all other rights in the Star Wars franchise are fully-owned by Disney. As a Star Wars fan, the primary potential tangible impact that a Disney purchase of Fox would have is that it would remove any financial barriers to Disney re-releasing the true original theatrical versions of the Original Trilogy instead of the bastardized Special Editions.

Now, Disney getting back X-Men and Fantastic Four *production* rights in a Fox purchase would be a much bigger deal for Marvel fans since those properties could then be merged into the Marvel Cinematic Universe in a way that isn't allowed as of now. (Think of Wolverine and the rest of the X-Men finally getting to be in a movie with The Avengers.) That would be a pretty significant change for the public that isn't based on financial accounting or revenue distributions behind-the-scenes.

I don't think Disney will be able to release "a new hope" at all unless some type of deal with fox is worked out before hand. The other 5 revert to Disney in 2020 but "a new hope" will require a separate deal if fox is willing to part with it at all.
11-07-2017 06:37 PM
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Frank the Tank Online
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Post: #30
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
(11-07-2017 06:37 PM)solohawks Wrote:  
(11-07-2017 04:40 PM)Frank the Tank Wrote:  
(11-07-2017 03:52 PM)krux Wrote:  I thought Disney already owned Star Wars

Disney owns all of the intellectual property rights in Star Wars, but Fox still has the distribution rights for the original A New Hope in perpetuity and the Empire Strikes Back and Return of the Jedi for the next couple of years. (This was based on a deal George Lucas made back in the 2000s where Lucasfilm allowed Fox to retain those Original Trilogy distribution rights in exchange for Lucasfilm having full distribution rights of Episodes I, II and III. Fox was still used by Lucasfilm to release Episodes I, II and III in theaters, but Fox only received effectively a flat fee as opposed to normal performance-based distribution royalty.) Essentially, Disney still has to pay Fox a cut of any Blu-Ray releases, streaming and TV airings of the Original Trilogy. Otherwise, all other rights in the Star Wars franchise are fully-owned by Disney. As a Star Wars fan, the primary potential tangible impact that a Disney purchase of Fox would have is that it would remove any financial barriers to Disney re-releasing the true original theatrical versions of the Original Trilogy instead of the bastardized Special Editions.

Now, Disney getting back X-Men and Fantastic Four *production* rights in a Fox purchase would be a much bigger deal for Marvel fans since those properties could then be merged into the Marvel Cinematic Universe in a way that isn't allowed as of now. (Think of Wolverine and the rest of the X-Men finally getting to be in a movie with The Avengers.) That would be a pretty significant change for the public that isn't based on financial accounting or revenue distributions behind-the-scenes.

I don't think Disney will be able to release "a new hope" at all unless some type of deal with fox is worked out before hand. The other 5 revert to Disney in 2020 but "a new hope" will require a separate deal if fox is willing to part with it at all.

That's largely correct - those are the Star Wars/Fox distribution terms that I was referring to. Disney does receive the Lucasfilm share of A New Hope sales/streaming/etc., but not the Fox distribution share. This isn't a perfect analogy, but it's sort of like how music royalties are split between the songwriter and publisher. A songwriter always retains his/her songwriting royalties, but often give up rights to publishing royalties when they sign a record deal. When a songwriter gets more clout, he/she may be able to use leverage to retain future publishing rights. Publishing rights may also be transferable. (Recall the famous instance of Michael Jackson buying the publishing rights to a large catalog that included most of The Beatles songs. That catalog ended up being one of the most valuable portions of Jackson's entire state.)
11-07-2017 07:24 PM
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Wedge Offline
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Post: #31
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
Looks like this deal is back in a slightly modified form. If it goes through, then Disney gets the bulk of 21st Century Fox, but Disney would avoid antitrust problems by not acquiring Fox broadcast network, Fox News Channel, Fox Business Channel, FS1, and FS2.

I think the only detail here that wasn't in the previously-reported proposal is that Disney would acquire Fox's regional sports channels as part of the deal.

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/05/disney-a...urces.html
Quote:The deal contemplates the sale of Fox's Nat Geo, Star, regional sports networks, movie studios and stakes in Sky and Hulu, among other properties. What would remain at Fox includes its news and business news divisions, broadcast network and Fox sports.

The enterprise value of the Fox assets in the Disney deal is seen as above $60 billion, according to sources. Current Fox shareholders would get one share of the Fox company that remains after the movie and television assets are sold plus shares of Disney in a fixed exchange ratio.
12-05-2017 11:14 AM
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Big Frog II Offline
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Post: #32
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
All Big 12 third tier rights owned by Fox are going to ESPN.
12-05-2017 11:16 AM
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Frog in the Kitchen Sink Offline
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Post: #33
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
The Fox RSN all own the non-UT Big 12 tier 3 rights. So with the LHN, ESPN would own all Big 12 tier 3 rights. Probably wouldn't change the equation much, wrt a conference network as other than owning all tier 3 right under one roof, the other hurdles to a conference network still remain for the Big 12.
12-05-2017 11:19 AM
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Post: #34
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
(12-05-2017 11:14 AM)Wedge Wrote:  Looks like this deal is back in a slightly modified form. If it goes through, then Disney gets the bulk of 21st Century Fox, but Disney would avoid antitrust problems by not acquiring Fox broadcast network, Fox News Channel, Fox Business Channel, FS1, and FS2.

I think the only detail here that wasn't in the previously-reported proposal is that Disney would acquire Fox's regional sports channels as part of the deal.

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/05/disney-a...urces.html
Quote:The deal contemplates the sale of Fox's Nat Geo, Star, regional sports networks, movie studios and stakes in Sky and Hulu, among other properties. What would remain at Fox includes its news and business news divisions, broadcast network and Fox sports.

The enterprise value of the Fox assets in the Disney deal is seen as above $60 billion, according to sources. Current Fox shareholders would get one share of the Fox company that remains after the movie and television assets are sold plus shares of Disney in a fixed exchange ratio.

The regionals are gold mines. MLB teams dominate the local ratings on the RSNs. Very important for streaming. Look now for ESPN Midwest, ESPN South, ESPN North, ESPN West, ESPN Florida, etc.
12-05-2017 11:23 AM
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Post: #35
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
(12-05-2017 11:19 AM)Frog in the Kitchen Sink Wrote:  The Fox RSN all own the non-UT Big 12 tier 3 rights. So with the LHN, ESPN would own all Big 12 tier 3 rights. Probably wouldn't change the equation much, wrt a conference network as other than owning all tier 3 right under one roof, the other hurdles to a conference network still remain for the Big 12.

KU's third tier rights aren't through FOX RSNs.
12-05-2017 11:24 AM
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Post: #36
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
(12-05-2017 11:24 AM)MissouriStateBears Wrote:  
(12-05-2017 11:19 AM)Frog in the Kitchen Sink Wrote:  The Fox RSN all own the non-UT Big 12 tier 3 rights. So with the LHN, ESPN would own all Big 12 tier 3 rights. Probably wouldn't change the equation much, wrt a conference network as other than owning all tier 3 right under one roof, the other hurdles to a conference network still remain for the Big 12.

KU's third tier rights aren't through FOX RSNs.

Owned by ESPN.
12-05-2017 11:28 AM
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Hokie Mark Online
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Post: #37
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
Does this mean ESPN will now own Oklahoma's Tier 3 rights? What does that mean in terms of possible future realignment for OU?
12-05-2017 11:29 AM
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Big Frog II Offline
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Post: #38
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
(12-05-2017 11:29 AM)Hokie Mark Wrote:  Does this mean ESPN will now own Oklahoma's Tier 3 rights? What does that mean in terms of possible future realignment for OU?

I really don't think it means much. These third tier rights just happen to be part of the deal.
12-05-2017 11:36 AM
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Frank the Tank Online
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Post: #39
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
(12-05-2017 11:14 AM)Wedge Wrote:  Looks like this deal is back in a slightly modified form. If it goes through, then Disney gets the bulk of 21st Century Fox, but Disney would avoid antitrust problems by not acquiring Fox broadcast network, Fox News Channel, Fox Business Channel, FS1, and FS2.

I think the only detail here that wasn't in the previously-reported proposal is that Disney would acquire Fox's regional sports channels as part of the deal.

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/05/disney-a...urces.html
Quote:The deal contemplates the sale of Fox's Nat Geo, Star, regional sports networks, movie studios and stakes in Sky and Hulu, among other properties. What would remain at Fox includes its news and business news divisions, broadcast network and Fox sports.

The enterprise value of the Fox assets in the Disney deal is seen as above $60 billion, according to sources. Current Fox shareholders would get one share of the Fox company that remains after the movie and television assets are sold plus shares of Disney in a fixed exchange ratio.

Wow - that's legitimately surprising that Fox would part with those RSNs. Those make a TON of money (and are likely more valuable on a per subscriber basis than FS1/FS2). It also gives ESPN even more levarage going forward when it can combine access to the mothership with access to those RSNs. Most relevant to this particular board: what happens to Fox's share of BTN? Is that considered to be the Fox Sports portion to be retained by Fox or would it be included with the RSNs? Imagine if that comes into the ESPN fold (which would give them the Big Ten Network in addition to the SEC and ACC).
12-05-2017 11:46 AM
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Hokie Mark Online
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Post: #40
RE: Disney buying 21st Century Fox??
(12-05-2017 11:46 AM)Frank the Tank Wrote:  ...Most relevant to this particular board: what happens to Fox's share of BTN? Is that considered to be the Fox Sports portion to be retained by Fox or would it be included with the RSNs? Imagine if that comes into the ESPN fold (which would give them the Big Ten Network in addition to the SEC and ACC).

That's a GREAT point, Frank! I didn't even think to ask that question, but it could be huge for college sports...
12-05-2017 11:56 AM
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